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What Threats Does AI Pose to the US Presidential Election?

What Threats Does AI Pose to the US Presidential Election?

Every US presidential election is significant, however, the 2024 race takes on heightened importance as the controversial Donald Trump faces off against Vice President Kamala Harris. Their contest has come to symbolize a struggle over the direction of the nation’s future. With so much at stake, malicious  actors are increasingly using AI to manipulate  election campaigns and results. In this environment, social media safeguards  and heightened public  awareness  are more critical  than ever to protect  the integrity of the 2024 election. 

How Bad Actors Are Using AI to Influence US Elections

1. Phishing

Before elections, candidates often reach out to voters  to secure their support  — a tactic cybercriminals can exploit by impersonating candidates to  steal financial information or manipulate  voter opinion.. One method they use is phishing.

While phishing has long been a cyber threat, earlier attempts were often riddled with errors and obvious red flags, making them  easier to identify. Now, with tools like ChatGPT and other generative AI programs creating  highly realistic, human-like  text, phishing emails, and messages have become much more difficult to detect. 

2. Deepfakes and synthetic media

Malicious actors can leverage  generative AI to create fake videos, audio recordings, and photos that appear and sound altogether real. They can fabricate  a video of a candidate making statements  they never made  or a celebrity endorsing a candidate when no such endorsement occurred. ABC News highlighted  two examples: a deepfake of Taylor Swift endorsing Donald Trump and another of Ryan Reynolds wearing a Kamala Harris shirt. These deep fakes pose one of the most serious  threats to the integrity of the 2024 election. 

3. Data analysis and individual targeting

AI has the capability to  analyze massive  amounts of data, enabling it to craft  personalized ad campaigns targeting  specific voter demographics. It can also  exploit individuals  by using  psychological profiles to deliver manipulative messages or spread misinformation, influencing opinions and behaviors with precision. 

4. Hacking: Campaigns and election infrastructure

In August 2024, Iran hacked Trump’s campaign, offering a stark example of the dangers posed by AI-powered cyberattacks. Beyond infiltrating  sensitive campaign systems and potentially accessing secure information, malicious  actors can also deploy  AI to target voting machines, databases, and election monitoring systems. Such attacks could lead to falsified election results, undermining the integrity of the electoral process.. 

5. Spreading disinformation

While disinformation may seem less dangerous  than  phishing or  hacking, it is arguably  more insidious because it fosters  doubt and confusion, making it difficult for people to discern the truth . Tools like ChatGPT enable  scammers to generate  false information rapidly  and convincingly , while AI powered bots and automation programs can disseminate it at lightning speed. By the time misinformation is debunked, the damage may already be done.

Examples of disinformation include: 

  • False details about Where and how to  vote
  • Misleading “facts” aimed at influencing  voters’ opinions
  • Post-election, spreading false claims regarding election results

Two Types of Cybercriminal Interference in US Elections

There are two types of bad actors when it comes to election interference: 

  • Cybercriminals who can exploit the high-profile nature of elections to scam unsuspecting victims for personal gain. 
  • Malicious  actors seeking  to influence election outcomes by ensuring  a specific candidate wins. These are more dangerous than  petty criminals, as  the results  of the US elections can impact  the entire world. 

Regardless of their motives, whether scamming or swaying election results, it is crucial for candidates, organizations, and individuals to take precautions. To avoid  phishing, the rule of thumb is to never click  on  links from unfamiliar  sources. As for  disinformation, voters should remain vigilant, recognizing that not everything online is true, and always fact-check information before making decisions.